Archived research artifact · FNC-1 proxy v0.1

What capital is building, against what belief expects.

This experimental interface preserves the original FNC-1 and Belief Index demonstration. It is not a current instrument, does not update on a published cadence, and should be read with the v0.1 implementation note and the current Register.

Reading R-000 · as of
This week's reading

The current divergence.

FNC-1 Proxy  what's being built
over 12 months · vs SOX , S&P
Belief Index  what's believed
0–100 scale · weekly
Divergence  the read
Capital

What's being built.

FNC-1 against reference benchmarks, weekly closes. A public-market proxy for capital commitment across the AI substrates, not a measure of capital deployment itself.

FNC-1 versus benchmarks
Belief

What's believed.

The Belief Index reads how convinced financially-staked participants are, across a small set of liquid prediction markets. A disciplined sentiment overlay, not a principled forecast.

Belief Index, week over week
What this measures, what it does not

Boundary discipline.

FNC-1 is a public-market proxy for substrate capital commitment, built from a small basket of public equities exposed to the AI buildout. It reads valuation and expectation, not capital actually deployed. Capex, data-centre buildout, and power-purchase agreements are stronger deployment measures, and are on the roadmap.

The Belief Index is a sentiment overlay, not principled Bayesian prediction. It reflects financially-staked participants on a handful of liquid markets, and is narrow by design at this version. Treat it as a read, not a verdict.

The instrument is published in the open, with its construction, revision, and retirement conditions stated. If it stops earning its keep, we will say so. Read the methodology · read this week's Reading.

Reader's map

What's live, what's next, what's later.

The FNC-1 Index shows the current proxy instrument. The fuller architecture is built and published in the open as it matures, never ahead of itself.

Current · live

FNC-1 Proxy v0.1

Seven public-equity proxies, four prediction markets, and a weekly measurement interval. What you see above.

Next

Full Composite v1.0

Twenty to thirty constituents, four substrate sub-indices, two weighting schemes, and a cross-venue belief check. Documented in a subsequent NCB once backtested.

Later

Terminal Pro

Live data, history, alerts, and an API. Built when demand pulls it, not before.

The research record behind the number.

Current instrument state lives in the Radar and Register. The finite State of the Transition series preserves how the developing method was applied in public.

Open the Radar Application archive