Methods, applications, and theory.
Methods explains how FP1 instruments are built and graded. Applications leads with the current instruments, followed by selected worked applications and the preserved development record. Theory and archive contains exploratory work that may supply candidate models, analogues, and hypotheses; it is not part of the running instrument unless a published analysis cites it.
Methods.
How an FP1 instrument is constructed, scored, graded and retired. These are the papers a reader consults to check the work rather than to read it.
The method of record behind the Radar and the scenario assessments.
Index construction, weighting and retirement criteria. Read with the September implementation note.
The pipeline, the six commitments and the stated limitations, in one place.
Three optional analytical lenses, with separate verification, context, integrity, and translation roles.
Pre-registered thresholds, grade dates, and what was declined.
The earlier methodology note the later work builds on.
Applications.
Current instruments come first. Selected historical applications show the framework at work; the complete finite series remains available as development provenance.
The canonical state for Radar readings and evidence updates, with consequential assumptions tracked against thresholds fixed before the window opened.
The canonical calibration record for pre-registered thresholds, grade dates, results, and declined calls.
Transcript claims separated from contextual research, integrity findings, and optional analysis.
A worked Radar reading that separates builder-basket movement, chip-index movement, and belief signals. Current sweep state remains in the Radar.
A worked analysis of how financing duration changes the interpretation of infrastructure cost.
Sixteen dated Readings and Briefings preserved as a finite public testbed and development record.
Seven pillars of AI policy for the agentic age, as a worked application of the method.
Four paradigm shifts, with three depths of analysis.
An experimental interface retained as a research artifact; it is not a production instrument.
Theory and archive.
These publications may supply candidate models, analogues, and hypotheses. They sit outside the running instruments unless a dated analysis cites them explicitly. A reader can evaluate every current instrument without accepting the theoretical corpus.
An exploratory map of ideas, technologies, and paradigms; each connection is a hypothesis, not a measured relationship.
Long-form interviews on agency, active inference, living systems and adaptive institutions.
Standalone arguments on labour, autonomy, belief and the shape of an AI economy.
Ancient narrative patterns read against the present transition.
The editorial position the theoretical work is written from.
John Clippinger on complexity science, evolutionary biology and sentient mutualism.