What capital is building, against what belief expects.
This experimental interface preserves the original FNC-1 and Belief Index demonstration. It is not a current instrument, does not update on a published cadence, and should be read with the v0.1 implementation note and the current Register.
What's being built.
FNC-1 against reference benchmarks, weekly closes. A public-market proxy for capital commitment across the AI substrates, not a measure of capital deployment itself.
What's believed.
The Belief Index reads how convinced financially-staked participants are, across a small set of liquid prediction markets. A disciplined sentiment overlay, not a principled forecast.
Boundary discipline.
FNC-1 is a public-market proxy for substrate capital commitment, built from a small basket of public equities exposed to the AI buildout. It reads valuation and expectation, not capital actually deployed. Capex, data-centre buildout, and power-purchase agreements are stronger deployment measures, and are on the roadmap.
The Belief Index is a sentiment overlay, not principled Bayesian prediction. It reflects financially-staked participants on a handful of liquid markets, and is narrow by design at this version. Treat it as a read, not a verdict.
The instrument is published in the open, with its construction, revision, and retirement conditions stated. If it stops earning its keep, we will say so. Read the methodology · read this week's Reading.
What's live, what's next, what's later.
The FNC-1 Index shows the current proxy instrument. The fuller architecture is built and published in the open as it matures, never ahead of itself.
FNC-1 Proxy v0.1
Seven public-equity proxies, four prediction markets, and a weekly measurement interval. What you see above.
Full Composite v1.0
Twenty to thirty constituents, four substrate sub-indices, two weighting schemes, and a cross-venue belief check. Documented in a subsequent NCB once backtested.
Terminal Pro
Live data, history, alerts, and an API. Built when demand pulls it, not before.